IN and NC post-mortems
May 8th 2008 00:35
On Tuesday, Democratic and Republican primaries were held in Indiana and North Carolina. The results were as follows:
Democrats --
Indiana: Clinton 51%, Obama 49%
North Carolina: Obama 56%, Clinton 42%
Republicans --
Indiana: McCain 77%, Not McCain 23%
North Carolina: McCain 74%, Not McCain 26%
Takeaways:
Democrats --
It was a good day for Obama and a bad day for Clinton. Yes, Clinton won a state. No, Obama wasn't able to effectively shut the door by winning in both states. Note, though, that Clinton's victory was a squeaker and Obama's victory was a rout. Clinton needed a game-changing result yesterday. She didn't get it. Obama has had a horrible two months. He has taken a lot of hits and they have hurt him. However, they haven't benefitted Clinton to a large enough degree. At the end of the day, Clinton needed folks to turn away from Obama in droves and turn to her. She has made some headway, but not nearly enough.
Clinton does make a good argument that Obama could struggle in the general. His lack of appeal to working-class whites could very well be a big problem. And the ongoing sting from his "bitter" remarks about rural voters and his association with Jeremiah Wright could continue to impede his ability to regain the trust of that critical demographic. As polls have shown, some of those voters could cross over and vote for McCain in November. However, in terms of winning the nomination, Obama's victory is all but assured.
Republicans --
McCain, who has already wrapped up the nomination, is still failing to dominate in a one-man race. A bad economy and a tiresome war will be the final legacy of the Bush administration and, fair or not, it will hang like an albatross on McCain's neck. Can he overcome that burden as well as the disfavor of the conservative base? We'll see, but it's a very tall order.
Up next: West Virginia for the Democrats on May 13th.
Democrats --
Indiana: Clinton 51%, Obama 49%
North Carolina: Obama 56%, Clinton 42%
Republicans --
Indiana: McCain 77%, Not McCain 23%
North Carolina: McCain 74%, Not McCain 26%
Takeaways:
Democrats --
It was a good day for Obama and a bad day for Clinton. Yes, Clinton won a state. No, Obama wasn't able to effectively shut the door by winning in both states. Note, though, that Clinton's victory was a squeaker and Obama's victory was a rout. Clinton needed a game-changing result yesterday. She didn't get it. Obama has had a horrible two months. He has taken a lot of hits and they have hurt him. However, they haven't benefitted Clinton to a large enough degree. At the end of the day, Clinton needed folks to turn away from Obama in droves and turn to her. She has made some headway, but not nearly enough.
Clinton does make a good argument that Obama could struggle in the general. His lack of appeal to working-class whites could very well be a big problem. And the ongoing sting from his "bitter" remarks about rural voters and his association with Jeremiah Wright could continue to impede his ability to regain the trust of that critical demographic. As polls have shown, some of those voters could cross over and vote for McCain in November. However, in terms of winning the nomination, Obama's victory is all but assured.
Republicans --
McCain, who has already wrapped up the nomination, is still failing to dominate in a one-man race. A bad economy and a tiresome war will be the final legacy of the Bush administration and, fair or not, it will hang like an albatross on McCain's neck. Can he overcome that burden as well as the disfavor of the conservative base? We'll see, but it's a very tall order.
Up next: West Virginia for the Democrats on May 13th.
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Comment by S.L. Bradish
Comment by PopulistConservative
Angry Electorate
Maybe we should split the country into sections and just start over.
Comment by Lester Caudill
Round Politics
None of the candidates seem to have a clue of what to do for the economy or our engery problems.
Popcon the country is splitting into sections on its own as we can see in the red states vs blue states.
The split is so great that it may never come back together, and polictics is the major cause, backed by a liberal media bias.
I may have to go wash my mouth out with soap to get the bad taste out of it, but of the three main evils John Mccain maybe the lest evil.
Comment by PopulistConservative
Angry Electorate
As our population grows and assimilation of immigrants decreases and as long as whole industries (media, lobbying) exist just to rile things up and constantly push for money grabs, I don't see much hope for us. We're becoming balkanized and it leaves at least half the country disgusted most of the time.