HI (D only), WA (R only), and WI post-mortems
February 22nd 2008 00:36
On Tuesday, primaries/caucuses were held in Hawaii and Wisconsin for the Democrats and in Washington and Wisconsin for the Republicans. The results were as follows:
Democrats --
Obama won both Democratic contests (76%-24% in HI and 58%-41% in WI).
Republicans --
McCain won both Republican contests (49%-22% in WA and 55%-37% in WI).
Takeaways:
Democrats --
Obama continues his string of victories (now at ten in a row). In doing so, he continues to strengthen his momentum. The media seems ready to write the obituary for Clinton's candidacy. Undoubtedly, she is having trouble getting a foothold lately (as indicated by her losses and her money troubles). However, the dustbins of history are littered with journalists and pundits who wrote the Clintons off prematurely. The issue of the superdelegates still looms over the Democratic Party, but Obama's recent surge could result in an outright victory for him. If that happens, there won't be a crisis over the issue of the superdelegates. If Clinton is to revive her candidacy, she needs to do very well in the upcoming primaries in Ohio and Texas. If she doesn't, she will probably be unable to win -- and that's according to Hillary's own husband, Bill.
Republicans --
McCain is winning, but he has not yet secured the nomination. He still has a lot of work to do in terms of galvanizing conservatives behind him. That'll be a tough chore because a lurch to the right could endanger his appeal to moderates and liberals.
Up next (excluding American Samoa): Ohio, Rhode Island, Texas, and Vermont
Democrats --
Obama won both Democratic contests (76%-24% in HI and 58%-41% in WI).
Republicans --
McCain won both Republican contests (49%-22% in WA and 55%-37% in WI).
Takeaways:
Democrats --
Obama continues his string of victories (now at ten in a row). In doing so, he continues to strengthen his momentum. The media seems ready to write the obituary for Clinton's candidacy. Undoubtedly, she is having trouble getting a foothold lately (as indicated by her losses and her money troubles). However, the dustbins of history are littered with journalists and pundits who wrote the Clintons off prematurely. The issue of the superdelegates still looms over the Democratic Party, but Obama's recent surge could result in an outright victory for him. If that happens, there won't be a crisis over the issue of the superdelegates. If Clinton is to revive her candidacy, she needs to do very well in the upcoming primaries in Ohio and Texas. If she doesn't, she will probably be unable to win -- and that's according to Hillary's own husband, Bill.
Republicans --
McCain is winning, but he has not yet secured the nomination. He still has a lot of work to do in terms of galvanizing conservatives behind him. That'll be a tough chore because a lurch to the right could endanger his appeal to moderates and liberals.
Up next (excluding American Samoa): Ohio, Rhode Island, Texas, and Vermont
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Comment by S.L. Bradish
Comment by PopulistConservative
Angry Electorate
I don't think this latest NYT story about McCain will have legs. It reeks of desperation by that "esteemed" publication. Even if it did floor McCain, I suppose it's too late to sabotage his nomination.
What do you think will happen?
Comment by S.L. Bradish
Comment by PopulistConservative
Angry Electorate
Comment by S.L. Bradish
Comment by PopulistConservative
Angry Electorate
Really Long Link
I don't see why he's obsessing over Bloomberg and I didn't see any broad theory spelled out (maybe it's in another post). Yes, the US is in financial trouble and, yes, it has to go through a MAJOR correction. Yes, it will hurt. His post sounds a little fatalistic and morose, though.
Besides, Bloomberg could never get win as a Prez or a VP. He'll never be running the nation.
Comment by S.L. Bradish